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홈연구정보연구보고서기본연구

기본연구

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한국해양수산개발원 연구발간물 보호 저작물은 '공공누리' 출처 표시, 상업적 이용금지, 변경금지 조건에 따라 이용할 수 있습니다.

기본연구 상세보기
통일시대를 대비한 한반도 항만개발정책방향
구분 기본1998-17 발간일 1998-12-01
공공누리 제 4유형 연구책임자 김학소
전문

This paper studies SOC (Social Overhead Capital) of South and North Korea by collecting much literature. Specially, we attempt to analyze the port development strategy after Korea Unification. The lack of data about North Korea makes our study very difficult, so we can only analyze its traffic estimated by the econometric methods. Research results indicate that North Korea`s traffic will be 30 million tons in the optimistic case and 17 million tons in the pessimistic case, in 2011, the time of unification. But, after unification, it is shown that traffic will increase rapidly. So, in 2020, we can find that 260 million tons in the optimistic case and 288million tons in the pessimistic case will be generated separately in north region. Consequently, it is necessary to have to develop 198 berths totally in the North region, especially in Nampo, Najin and Chungjin after unification. Most of all, the direction of port development policy is based on preparation of infrastructure on the Korea peninsula making a role of the central country of a transportation in the Northeast economy region.

기본연구 상세보기
통일시대를 대비한 한반도 항만개발정책방향
구분 기본1998-17 발간일 1998-12-01
공공누리 제 4유형 연구책임자 김학소
전문

This paper studies SOC (Social Overhead Capital) of South and North Korea by collecting much literature. Specially, we attempt to analyze the port development strategy after Korea Unification. The lack of data about North Korea makes our study very difficult, so we can only analyze its traffic estimated by the econometric methods. Research results indicate that North Korea`s traffic will be 30 million tons in the optimistic case and 17 million tons in the pessimistic case, in 2011, the time of unification. But, after unification, it is shown that traffic will increase rapidly. So, in 2020, we can find that 260 million tons in the optimistic case and 288million tons in the pessimistic case will be generated separately in north region. Consequently, it is necessary to have to develop 198 berths totally in the North region, especially in Nampo, Najin and Chungjin after unification. Most of all, the direction of port development policy is based on preparation of infrastructure on the Korea peninsula making a role of the central country of a transportation in the Northeast economy region.

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